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Analysis Images/FL/Tite/ThePlaybook_card.png
September 2024

The Playbook for Independents: Style or Policy?

To the surprise of many, almost every swing state now shows Harris either closing the gap or taking the lead. Typically, candidates get a bump during the convention—but is that all this is? Not exactly.

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Analysis Images/AZ/Kari Lake: Close, but Probably No Cigar/STATEWIDE.png
September 2024

Arizona's Kari Lake: Close, but Probably No Cigar

Arizona has been in the spotlight as a battleground state for months. With just 41 days to go, a recent poll shows Gallego up by 14 points in the U.S. Senate race—a figure Republicans were quick to dismiss as unrealistic, arguing that no party wins by that margin in Arizona. Vantage Data House polls back up their skepticism.

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Analysis Images/NV/Nevada Is Not A Sure Bet For Either Trump or Harris/Cover Images/STATEWIDE.png
October 2024

Nevada Is Not A Sure Bet For Either Trump or Harris

Vantage Data House’s latest poll shows a tight contest between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in Nevada, with Jacky Rosen holding a lead in the Senate race. Harris is facing some resistance with women voters and struggling to connect with older demographics—two key groups that could make or break the outcome.

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Analysis Images/North Carolina/The Great North Carolina GOP Meltdown/STATEWIDE.png
September 2024

How One Candidate’s Missteps Turned the GOP’s North Carolina Dream into a Nightmare.

North Carolina is viewed as a battleground state by most pundits, and the reasons are clear. In 2020, Donald Trump won the state by 1.5%, Republican Thom Tillis won the U.S. Senate race by less than 2%, and Democrat Roy Cooper won the Governor’s race by 4%. So, it’s evident why North Carolina is considered a battleground. However, few expected the disastrous campaign for Governor being run by Lt. Governor Mark Robinson.

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Analysis Images/FL/Is Florida in Play Well At Least Not Today/FL_STATEWIDE.png
Florida
September 2024

Florida's Real Battle: It's Not About Independents.

While the media is laser-focused on the battle for “independent” voters, they’re overlooking the real fight in Florida. Sure, Harris is leading with 48% among non-partisans, leaving Trump trailing at just 41%. But here’s the thing: that’s not where the Democrats’ surge in support is coming from.

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Analysis Images/LA/Oct 15/REGION.png
October 2024

Can Cleo Fields Win Without a Run-Off?

In Louisiana’s Congressional District 6, all eyes are on Cleo Fields. Based on the latest Vantage Data House poll, there’s only one real question left—can Fields win outright, or will this race head to a runoff?

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